Updated - 20 May 2026 - Q2 2026 dataIndependent research desk - General information only, not personal financial adviceMelbourne, Australia
Future scenario - retirement projection

What might happen by retirement?

Edit the inputs to test weak, middle and strong paths. This is a range explorer, not a calculator that pretends to know the future.

Projected range - real terms

Weak, middle and strong paths.

Stress pathA$234,513
Weak pathA$375,846
Middle pathA$510,244
Strong pathA$643,645
Weak
A$375,846
Middle
A$510,244
Strong
A$643,645

Current assumptions: A$220,000 starting balance, 3.5% return, 48bp fees, A$18,000 annual contributions over 15 years.

Range logic

Stress subtracts 8 percentage points from the return assumption, weak subtracts 3 points, middle uses the selected return and strong adds 2.2 points.

Fees

The fee assumption is deducted separately from the selected return input in the projection model.

Real terms

Displayed values include a 2.5% annual inflation adjustment.

Contributions

Annual contributions are model inputs before tax, contribution caps, insurance premiums and timing differences.